A much anticipated and pretty well advertised pattern change is going to start impacting many of the Plains states...including Texas. However, it looks like this first storm may go a touch too far north to benefit most of the state. That said, some areas will still get some moisture...

Forecast as it stands right now...

EURO Model Upper Level Weather Pattern

Tuesday Morning

Wednesday Morning

Nothing to worry about as upper level ridging takes hold, and we'll be very quiet and mild through midweek.

Thursday Morning

Strong trough of low pressure dives into the Great Basin. Should become very windy ahead of that storm system, so plan on plenty of wind and high fire danger for Thursday. There is also an outside chance for a few strong to severe thunderstorms in the Texas Panhandle.

Friday Morning

Strong closed low pressure develops over Southeast Colorado and Southwest Kansas. This would put likely put MOST of Texas too far south to reap the benefits of this first storm. However, there is still the potential for some strong to severe thunderstorms as the storm moves through.

GFS Model Total Liquid Precipitation Through Saturday AM

It appears that East Texas will benefit the most from this initial storm, with some rain totals likely approaching 1-2". If the storm drops a bit farther south, then better chances will exist for areas farther west. As of right now though, we may have to wait for the next storm or two to set up farther south.