Swing and a Miss for Rain; Weekend Outlook

Well, we tried to get some rain this week in Denver, with about 12 hours of it "feeling" like rain on Wednesday. Unfortunately, it panned out to nothing more than a near-miss, with some great precipitation falling, but staying to our west and south over the last several days:

WeatherBell Analytics

While we haven't seen much rain in Denver, others have seen some great precipitation in recent days, and, we've at least benefited from some cooler temperatures than what we've experienced in recent weeks. Highs were in the mid to upper 90s Sunday, mid 90s Monday, and again upper 90s on Tuesday at our station in Denver. By Wednesday we finally saw some relief from the heat, with highs topping out at 79°F, with mid 80s (beats mid 90s!) yesterday:

We'll continue to see rain chances today and Saturday, but all indications are the best storm chances will be to Denver's west and south – much like we've seen all week. Saturday may feature a bit better chance for storms in Denver than today, but overall not overwhelmingly exciting as we generally dry out as compared to recent days across the state.

The longer-range outlook continues to suggest the more typical monsoonal flow for this time of year will try to establish itself by the middle of next week across the southwest. I remain a bit skeptical on how that'll translate for us along the Front Range, but regionally we should continue to see a good chance for afternoon showers and storms through the extended period.

So, while we'll likely see another blast of heat to start next week, the medium range looks more comfortable – even along the front range – as we see the moisture flow return to the state after a few drier days Sunday through Tuesday. Highs in the upper 80s and low 90s is very manageable this time of year, especially if we can put together an afternoon storm or two.

To that end, here's last night's 00z GFS 10 day outlook. Certainly some good precipitation in the area, but not necessarily over Denver. The devil is in the details to be sure, so let's first get that moisture flow going, then see if we can't finally score some rain.

Brendan Heberton

Brendan is founder of Weather5280. He is co-founder of FreshyMap, and develops software for geospatial data analysis and visualization.

Denver, Colorado
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