The State of the Atmosphere: Sunday, November 19, 2017

Month to date temperature anomalies are running well above average across the southern half the country, including Colorado. Denver is running 2.4°F above average for the month, with parts of the state running as much as 7 - 8°F above average.

Thursday's rain and snow helped ease the precipitation deficit for the month, but despite the 0.23" recorded at DIA on Thursday, Denver is still running slightly below average in that department as well.

The week ahead doesn't look like it'll do much to change things in either department. Temperatures look to stay above average through Thanksgiving, with little moisture to be found across the region.

Temperatures this coming week will be quite warm for late November. We'll see highs in the 60s and 70s most afternoons this week across eastern Colorado (the exception being Tuesday it appears) where average highs would be closer to the 50 degree mark for the city. The EURO forecast below shows those highs (blue bars) as well as the pretty minimal precipitation chances we'll see over the next seven days as well. The average low this time of year is in the LOW 20s, and we'll be in the 30s and 40s through the period. Goodness.

With a similar outlook for Colorado Springs:

So, great news for those traveling for Thanksgiving to be sure. Precipitation totals through next Saturday show very little moisture across the state – perhaps a little snow for the northern mountains, but mostly dry elsewhere across the state.

Long range, as we head into the final week of November there are at least some hints we see a blip in the overall pattern and with that perhaps a better organized system move through the state. Still not great consensus here, and it's a long ways out, but – if you're eager for snow, this looks like the next best chance, as it certainly won't be coming this week.

EURO showing signs of life for the last week of November

Brendan Heberton

Brendan is founder of Weather5280. He is co-founder of FreshyMap, and develops software for geospatial data analysis and visualization.

Denver, Colorado
You can unsubscribe at anytime.