Snow potential down for Denver as bulk of action may miss south

The concern for snow potential in Denver all week has been a miss to the south. Overnight data moved that way nearly across the board, and with that we'll pull our numbers back a bit from our forecast yesterday, as Denver's high-end potential is definitely lower today.

We'll go with a Trace to 3" for Denver and pull the 2 - 6" range just south and west of the city. You'll also note that we've included Fort Collins in this range as well, as we're seeing snow shower activity kick off the foothills up north, and some potential for a quick coating to 3" will be possible through the afternoon.

With the shift south, Colorado Springs remains in play for a nice snow. We'll go 3 - 8" across the region, with perhaps a bit more at elevations west and even north of the city. The bulk of this snow is still expected on Sunday. Some concern in morning modeling that even for COS the worst ends up south... but with a 3" minimum we think that should cover in that scenario.

These totals are for today through Monday morning:

Our gamblers still show decent odds for a couple of inches in most locations, but given the trend of the operational models today one has to wonder if they are overdone. Nonetheless, easy to see Denver and Boulder picking up a Trace to 3" with these probabilities, and widespread 4 - 6" for the southern cities:

For the mountains? Snow snow snow. And more snow. Here's the scene from Copper this morning:

The WPC products below show what we think are probably low end (top) and high end (bottom) potentials for snow through Monday across the state. On both cases plenty of snow for the high country, with the southern and central mountains being favored from here on out. For the I-25 corridor and eastern Plains, low-end potential keeps the heaviest totals along and west of I-25, favoring the Palmer Divide and southern foothills, with the high-end potential shows a bit more snow for Denver and the east-central Plains:

Monday remains chilly across the region with snow showers ending. Warmer and drier will be the the theme through the work week. Let's see how this one pans out!

Brendan Heberton

Brendan is founder of Weather5280. He is co-founder of FreshyMap, and develops software for geospatial data analysis and visualization.

Denver, Colorado
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