AM Update
Greatest impacts from next system look poised to end up south and east
There's better consensus in the modeling today with regard to our next system. Not great, but better. And consensus seems to be forming around the European ensemble idea, vs the American GEFS. That is, a more easterly and southerly storm track which will pull the greatest rain, snow, and wind away from the Front Range, and focus the greatest impacts across perhaps the Eastern Plains of Colorado, or even into Western Kansas and Texas/Oklahoma panhandles. There are still differences between th
Snowfall Forecast
Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories posted as wet, heavy snow on the way for greater Denver area
The data have remained steady since our update last night , lending some confidence to an otherwise low-confidence forecast. Rain is expected to develop later today, and transition to heavy, wet snow Wednesday evening and overnight along the urban corridor, Front Range, and adjacent plains. Since our last update, the NWS in Boulder has issued a Winter Weather Advisory (pu
Denver Forecast
Wednesday AM update: Tracking a chilly change on the way to Colorado this weekend
Spring is in full swing this week, but as spring tends to swing in Colorado, the warmth won't last but a couple more days. As discussed in this week's SOTA , the warm and dry weather we are enjoying this week will be replaced by a cooler and potentially wetter pattern by the weekend, with rain and snow back in the forecast for much of the state by Friday night. MOS guidance has highs in the low 70s
AM Update
Wednesday AM update: Heavy mountain snow, plains snow drought continues
While we finally "officially" saw our first snow of the season earlier this month in Denver, let's face it, we're still waiting for our first real storm of the season. Denver is moving into the final days of December with just 0.3" of snow in the books, and an oversupply of warm and windy days. Across the west the pattern has meant something entirely different, with plentiful moisture crashing into the west coast this month and more to come before the end of the year. Given the slow start to t
Denver Forecast
After another warm and windy November day, temperatures tumble with a slight chance for rain and snow
We could essentially copy and paste our last post , with temperatures again set to cool off across Eastern Colorado, but without a chance of rain and snow of any significance along with it. Today the story remains warmer than average temperature across the state, and gusty winds. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for the Denver metro area and southern Front Ra
AM Update
Monday AM update: Chilly weather holds on, drizzle and at times snow showers possible
As we said would likely be the case, models have continued to back away from snow accumulation potential across the urban corridor this week, even as we remain under a chilly northwesterly flow aloft. With that, the likelihood of Denver seeing its first measurable snow of the season this week looks low (but not impossible) at this time, with chilly temperatures at at times drizzle being the more likely weather "event" this week. Still, some heavier snow showers are possible at times, but will be
AM Update
Wind brings near-record heat ahead of rain showers Tuesday
The wind ramps up ahead of a cold front that will deliver some rain and snow to the state followed by a mid-week cool off. Monday's temperatures will be near-record territory but morning clouds may stop a new record a few degrees shy of the 84 degree mark. Denver hit that record of 84 in 2017. Instead, the city will make a run at 80°F, although strong wind gusts may be able to bump temperatures into the lower 80s. Here are high temperatures through the week for a few locations in the region:
AM Update
Wednesday AM update: Rain, snow, and cooler temperatures – a welcome change arrives in Colorado!
The weather will be feeling much more fall-like to end the month after what has largely been a hot and dry September across the region. After record highs in the 90s in recent days, we will drop to near 70°F in Denver today, and perhaps not break the 60°F mark on Thursday! Temperatures in the 50s and 60s will remain in the forecast for the metro area through Saturday at least, with perhaps some low 70s back in the forecast for Sunday. With the cooler temperatures, will also come an increased
AM Update
Warm and mostly dry through the weekend, turning cooler with a chance of mountain snow by next week
Cooler weather over the last couple of days, as well as spotty strong storms across Eastern Colorado have been a welcome relief to the recent record heat we've seen across the state. Precipitation totals since Sunday (below) show that while not everyone saw rain (we only picked up a few stray drops!) some folks saw some appreciable rain, and in a few cases far too much hail . Precipitation totals Mon and TueAs we look ahead to the rema
Denver Forecast
Cooler temperatures to start the week, showers and storms for some
A quick update this morning to take a look at the upcoming week, which will feature some cooler temperatures (though it's all relative when coming off the record heat we've been seeing) and at least a chance of showers and storms over the next couple of days as well. The best chance of those showers and storms will come today and tomorrow along the Front Range, with about a 25 to 30% chance today, and closer to 45 to 50% on Tuesday. Somewhat remarkably, the "coolest" day of the week which is
AM Update
Saturday AM update: Afternoon showers and storms possible Saturday, hotter and drier Sunday
Highs will top out in the low 80s across the greater Denver metro area Saturday, with about a 30% chance of storms in the forecast this afternoon and evening. While nothing like what we saw on Thursday, it's good to be aware and look for the chance for at least brief downpours later this afternoon. Probabilities for meaningful precipitation are pretty low, but a nice short wave scooting across the state later today, combined with relatively healthy precipitable water values could mean a few
AM Update
Respite from the smoke, but watch for severe storms: Friday AM update
While Air Quality Alerts remain in effect along the northern urban corridor through midday Friday, there's some hope for a least a brief break from the smoke later today and Saturday before the next batch of smoke may arrive for the latter half of the weekend. A look at the latest HRRR smoke model shows this – note the brighter colors receding across Colorado early in the animation, but then are transported back in along the northwest flow aloft by late in the day Saturday or early Sunday: A
AM Update
Wednesday AM update: Cooler again on Thursday, but still dry
As we discussed in our last update, today's warm temperatures will be replaced by another shot of colder air to end the week. Thursday's highs aren't likely to top 60°F in Denver, with overnight lows Thursday into Friday likely to dip into the 20s across the metro area. If you still have irrigation on, you'll want to protect those exposed pipes over the next couple of nights. Below is a look at forecast highs across the region over the next seven days. Quite warm today for most locations, with
Severe Weather
Another severe weather day across Eastern Colorado, large hail possible
The last couple of severe weather days haven't panned out to produce all that many storms. The latest of which was on Sunday, where the strongest storms of the afternoon ended up southeast of Colorado Springs, with very little storm coverage (let alone anything severe) across the northern urban corridor. Today we once again see a heightened chance of storms to become severe across Eastern Colorado this afternoon and evening. The greatest risk for these storms to develop and become severe looks
AM Update
Friday AM update: Scattered rain and snow showers today, gusty winds
Just a quick update this morning to mention the passing rain and snow showers we'll see today across eastern Colorado. This is part of a large system that is bringing heavy snow to the mountains today and tomorrow. We won't see significant snow across the plains... but a quick burst of rain or heavy snow will be possible today, which could lead to some isolated quick accumulation –– genera
AM Update
Wednesday Am Update: Heavy Snow to Denver's East; Snow Showers, Gusty Winds in the City
We've been begrudgingly keeping an eye on the weather since our last update, just in case anything might change. For Front Range snow lovers, it appears nothing will. Heavy snow and wind will make travel treacherous across the far eastern plains later today, tonight, and Thursday, but for those living along the I-25 urban corridor it looks like yet another non-event in a long list of non-events. Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories extend from northeast New Mexico through the Dakotas and Minnes
AM Update
Midweek Cold Front Won't Do Much to Help Snow-Starved Start to December
It's been a quiet start to the month across much of the state as we discussed would likely be the case in this month's outlook . Month to date temperatures have been quite cold across the CONUS, with Denver running just about a degree below average through December 10th. Denver's just seen a Trace of snow here and there so far this month. December, on average, picks up 8.1" of snow... so we have quite a bit of work to do if we're going to get anywhere near tha
AM Update
Monday AM Update: Storm Chances Return Today, Some Will Turn Severe
Well... it's a bit like pulling teeth getting it to rain around here, but we managed to extract some beneficial moisture over the weekend in some locations. On Saturday the best precipitation was focus north/northeast of Denver, with yesterday's rain focused in the Front Range foothills and Palmer Divide. At our station in Denver we picked up 0.47" of liquid Sunday, with light drizzle continuing this morning. Here are the 24 hours rainfall totals from across the state: The storm chances stick
Denver Forecast
Flash Flood Watch Issued for Northeast Colorado
Still tracking wet weather for your Friday and Saturday across much of northeast Colorado. Rain will be heavy at times from Friday afternoon through Saturday evening across the Front Range foothills, northern urban corridor, and northeast plains. The National Weather Service in Boulder has issued a Flash Flood Watch for these areas from 3pm today through Saturday (green shading below): While the severe threat we discussed yesterday (hail, damaging wind) looks less impressive today than it did
Denver Forecast
Monday Morning Update
If you'll recall our keys to accumulating snow in Denver in yesterday's post, moisture and jet induced banding would be the major factors in snowfall totals across the region. We woke up in Denver to only a dusting in many locations, so where's the snow? > Heaviest snowfall bands continue north of Denver where they've been all night #cowx pic.twitter.com/nVaIDcp8sr — Weather5280 (@weather5280) January 27, 2014 [https://twitt