MJO
The MJO is Waking Up!
Pattern change means moisture chances will increase for Colorado You hear us talk about various global teleconnections and oscillations, but the Madden-Julian Oscillation is one of the most important. We've talked about it many times before and recently reported that the very weak MJO signal late this summer was likely responsible for our failed monsoon . However, the MJO is starting to come to life and could have rather large im
El Niño
Monsoon Fail and a Look at October
Before we move into October, here is a thought on the late summer: I have to admit that there were a lot of things I thought would happen this year with the warm Pacific and subsequent El Niño, but a failing monsoon wasn't one of them. Historically, an El Niño will enhance the monsoon season for Colorado and certainly doesn't scream drought. However, I attribute the "monsoon fail" to a very weak MJO (Madden Julian Oscillation ) signal and one that simply got stuck in a rut that perpetu
Long-range forecast
Colorado's Long-Range Forecast Update: A Look at Spring and Ahead to Summer
After such an amazing finish to February and start to March , a lot of folks are wondering if the wintry stretch is going to continue for the spring. Well, if you've been reading this site since late summer/fall, you know our thoughts already. Yes, we will likely remain active. However, during the next several days to a week we are going to get a significant break from the winter weather. Warmer and drier weather w
Long-range forecast
Outlook for the Second Half of January
While central Colorado has seen bouts of Arctic air and generally light snow, we really haven't had a big storm system threaten us. That's not too out of the ordinary for January. January and February are usually pretty quiet times, but occasionally can surprise. So far, Denver has tallied 19.4" of snow this season which is basically normal. Farther south in Colorado Springs, 13.1" of snow has fallen, which is about 2" below normal. Bottom line, while this winter reall
El Niño
What a Strengthening MJO Could Mean for Colorado and the Southwest this May
We talk about a variety of atmospheric oscillations that govern our weather, but haven't yet talked about one of the most important ones: The Madden-Julian Oscillation or MJO. Simply put, the MJO deals with thunderstorm development (convection) in the tropics over the western Pacific Ocean and Indian Ocean. It usually cycles about every 30 to 60 days, is most active during weak La Niña or La Nada (neither El Niño or La Niña) events, or du