In Hurricane Harvey's Case, a Failure to Comprehend, not Forecast

Anyone paying attention last week knew Harvey was set to unleash the full fury of Mother Nature on Texas. Forecasters predicted this historic event with incredible accuracy, and yet, the most tired story of all ("meteorologists »

The Human Element of a Weather Forecast

Being a meteorologist is a difficult job some days. Usually, it’s an academic problem: Trying to decide between two weather forecast models, gnashing your teeth over a couple degrees on a forecast, adding a chance »

Parts of Louisiana Devastated by Flooding; National Media Quiet

It's an election year, the Olympics are on, and crazy guys are climbing Trump Tower with suction cups attached to their hands and feet. With these and other "important" news stories (often told by animated GIF) »

Weather is a Tournament of Odds

Depending on where you get your weather information you really are getting different philosophies of the forecast process. I'm a probabilist – or, I believe in forecasting »

Without Warning: Moving from Twitter Anger to Action

NBC headline proclaiming tornado came "without warning" falls flat Last night I had the opportunity to talk to Dakota Smith and Tyler Jankoski on their Weather Junkies podcast. It was a fun experience, and the first »

The Glory Years for East Coast Snowstorms?

If you're keeping score at home (and of course we're not) it may seem like the northeast has been hit with more than their fair share of major winter storms in recent years. Going back to »

Data and Knowledge, the Key to Changing Public 'Opinion'

I was ready to hit publish on one post with the aim of beginning work on another. I quickly realized that perhaps the two were connected, »