January update: Death to La Niña?
By Matt Makens
Jan 14, 2023
It's increasingly likely that La Niña is very near the end of this latest phase as the likelihood of La Niña conditions this spring falls to 14% in the latest CPC forecast released this week. Here is that forecast, shown as the probability of ENSO phase going forward through three-month seasons. For March-April-May we have an 82% probability of neutral conditions. That forecast is based on multiple model and statistical projections for sea surface temperatures (SSTs) within the ENSO 3.4 regio