image: The State of the Atmosphere: Monday, June 27th, 2022State of the Atmosphere

The State of the Atmosphere: Monday, June 27th, 2022

After a nice cool off this weekend, temperatures are set to climb once more this week. Highs were in the 70s both Saturday and Sunday across the area, well below average, and a nice break from the recent heat. Unfortunately, and perhaps not surprisingly, the cooler temperatures weren't accompanied by much precipitation in Denver, with just a Trace recorded at DIA, Denver's official weather station. Precipitation totals over the last 3 days shows some parts of the state did pick up some much ne
Denver Forecast
70s with increased rain chances this weekend, Denver
A strong cold front will arrive to cool the weekend by 20 to 30 degrees across parts of Colorado. Denver area high temperatures Friday will be in the 90s, but only 60s and 70s Saturday and Sunday. Across the state Friday: Saturday: Sunday: This cold front will also collide with some moisture across the region to increase the chance for rain, particularly across southern Colorado. Estimated total precipitation through the weekend: Potential 3-day rainfall totals for Northern Front Range:
State of the Atmosphere
The State of the Atmosphere: Monday, June 20th, 2022
Happy to report that at least some of the advertised precipitation for southwest Colorado panned out over recent days, and it looks like more is on the way over the coming week. Precipitation as a percent of normal over the last 7 days shows areas of extreme dry across the south-central plains states and a good portion of California and Nevada, while the Four Corners region was able to tap into some of that monsoonal flow, and the very wet weather across the Northwest continues. Looking at C
image: Smoky sky with near-record temperatures in Denver area MondayRecord Heat
Smoky sky with near-record temperatures in Denver area Monday
If you've looked at the horizon Monday you have seen the haze in the air. This is mostly smoke arriving from the Pipeline Fire near Flagstaff, AZ . The smoke likely gets thicker this afternoon with some relief with a wind shift to come Tuesday. > Some of you have asked about the smoky sky this morning. That smoke alof
State of the Atmosphere
The State of the Atmosphere: Sunday, June 12th, 2022
It's mid-June and we are cooking with mid-summer heat! Highs on Saturday climbed into the triple digits for portions of Eastern Colorado, including Denver where the high hit 100°F, tying the record high for the date set back in 2013 . Anyone else remember when it snowed three weeks ago? Storms today have kept us a few degrees cooler across the region, though still quite hot. Monday we are likely to see more 100°F+ temperatures across E
Extreme Heat
Near-record heat this weekend in Denver and around Colorado
It's going to be a hot weekend across the region with some daily record temperatures to be set, the hottest of which will be in Grand Junction that may set back-to-back records of 100 degrees +. This isn't as extreme as the heat expected across the southern and southwestern U.S., however, which will record highs well above 110 in this latest heat wave. The following three maps for Friday, Saturday and Sunday represent the forecast high temperatures that may break existing daily heat records.
Severe Weather
Damaging thunderstorms across the region Tuesday
We will have to keep a close eye on our gardens and cars today as damaging thunderstorms are possible across the region. An overview of the outlook area shows potentially severe weather across much of Wyoming, Colorado, Nebraska and Kansas. The highest risk is east of the Denver metro area into Nebraska and Kansas, but that's not to say there is not a risk right here in the metro area too. The risks will include destructive hail and isolated tornadoes. This isn't to say all areas will see t
State of the Atmosphere
The State of the Atmosphere: Monday, June 6th, 2022
The incoming week will be drier and warmer than the one that just ended, but we have had some valuable moisture recently to help keep things green around the Front Range. During the first few days of June, an area of moisture focused on the Pacific Northwest, Southern Plains, and the Northern Front Range and northeastern Plains of Colorado. Temperatures started off on a cool note for early June, too. As we look at the week ahead, it'll be warmer (except off to our east) and drier overall. Tem
Denver Forecast
One last chance of rain to finish out the month Tuesday, more snow for the hills
May is Denver's wettest month on average, and, while it hasn't been an overly wet May across the region for many of us it's been near average which is a good thing. This is especially true coming off the very dry April we saw across the state. Through yesterday Denver sits at 1.88" of precipitation for the month, which is -0.13" below average for May. The average temperature month-to-date sits at 57°F, which is exactly average for May. Models continue to show another round of showers, storms
Colorado Weather
Hot end to the week, but a chance of more rain and snow before May ends across Northern Colorado
Statewide snowpack has ticked up a bit after last weekend's snow, but remains below average for this time of year. The statewide median is now 72% of average, but there are great disparities across the various basins across the state. Colorado statewide snowpackAcross northeast Colorado basins are running near average, while southwest Colorado is all but out of snow, just 4% of average for the San Miguel basin! Or visualized another way, huge deficits across southwest Colorado as the rest of
State of the Atmosphere
State of the Atmosphere: Monday, May 23rd, 2022
Conditions will warm up quite a lot throughout the week, and a couple of chances for precipitation but by no means anything as strong as what we just saw across the Front Range. > I wanted more snow, but this is getting silly. pic.twitter.com/VIdwxPavDp — Matt Makens (@MattMakens) May 21, 2022 The storm system that moved through into the weekend was noteworthy for several reasons. First, l
Winter Storm
Winter Storm and Freeze Warnings in place as rain and snow arrive in Colorado
The cold and wet weather has arrived and will stick with us through the remainder of the day and on into Saturday for many of us. No major changes to the forecast at this time. Last evening's cold front was impressive. It's awesome how many folks along the Front Range have weather stations these days and shared with us the dramatic temperature drop as the front moved through. In Fort Collins, the weather station at Christman Field dropped 26°F in just 15 minutes last night – a record for the s
Snowfall Forecast
Significant snowstorm Friday will follow near-record heat across Colorado, latest forecast map and timeline
Buckle up! Today's near-record heat across Northeast Colorado will be followed by significant changes to our weather on Friday, with rain, snow and everything in between on the way! Latest data continues to point to a significant late-season snowstorm across the region, with totals in excess of 2 feet possible for some Front Range mountain locations, and several inches of wet, heavy snow possible along the urban corridor Friday PM into Saturday. While we are well past the date of our average
Snowfall Forecast
Temperatures near 90°F on Thursday in Denver with high fire danger; snow arrives on Friday: Forecast
We had an update earlier today which went in some depth on the upcoming changes to our weather on the way, but wanted to offer another one tonight to share a quick update on the snowfall forecast, and reiterate the high fire danger on Thursday. Thursday will see gusty winds to 40 mph, high temperatures, and low humidity. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for
Snowfall Forecast
Late season snow on the way for portions of Northern Colorado as Winter Storm Watches are posted
Nothing like following up a snowless April in Denver (the city's second snowiest month on average!) with the chance for accumulating snow across the region on May 20th! Denver's average last snow of the season is April 28th, but snow in May is by no means uncommon. By the time we move into the second half of the month, however, it becomes far less common. The latest measurable snow on record came on June 2nd, 1951 when 0.3" of snow was recorded in Denver. We have seen measurable snow on the 29
Denver Forecast
With a cool and wet end to week possible, who's likely to see a late season snow?
Today's tone is a bit more optimistic that we'll see some moisture around here by the end of the week, though the details remain unsettled. It's likely we'll see continued variation in the modeling as we get closer to Friday, as convection this time of year muddles computer modeling, and the largescale pattern remains hard to pin down. Models overall recovered quite a bit from their drier runs yesterday. Yesterday's data was consolidating energy with this system well north and northeast of o
State of the Atmosphere
The State of the Atmosphere: Sunday, May 15th, 2022
Perhaps some good news in the forecast for the upcoming week, but this should be met with a healthy dose of pessimism until we see actual water falling from the sky. Why? Because the pattern is a dry one, and despite what models have shown from time to time, the favored outcome will continue to hedge dry until we can fundamentally shift the pattern around here. Take the trusty European ensemble mean forecast for precipitation anomalies through next Sunday evening. It shows a blip of above av
Wind
Oh, so much wind! A historical perspective for Denver and the U.S.
Yes, it has been windy. And, it is safe to say it has been windier than normal around Denver and the Front Range in the past couple of months. It's important to keep things in perspective, so let's look at this from a top down approach, if you will. Wind events are common along the leeside of the Rocky Mountains, but what makes this recent pattern unusual is the scope of the winds across the U.S. as well as the frequency of strong wind events here in the city. To begin, let's take a look at A
State of the Atmosphere
State of the Atmosphere: Monday, May 9th, 2022
We are certainly warming and greening up nicely, but that means we will need better chances of precipitation to keep things progressing. Overall, the week ahead has low-end rain chances and warmer than average temperatures in the forecast for Colorado. The atmosphere for the week will have some troughing (unsettled weather) across the western U.S. early in the week, but notice how that area of blues on the map skirts the western part of the state before moving to our north and east. The path
Colorado Weather
Thankful for water
May is Denver's wettest month of the year, on average, and after a near-record dry April we are off to a great start, at least across Northeast Colorado. Here's a map showing May precipitation totals through this morning. More rain is falling on the Front Range and urban corridor this morning, so we will add to these totals in many places today and tonight. As we discussed heading into the month, the pattern has obviously favored northern Colorado, with drought-stricken southern Colorado rem